Oil Prices Rebound As Saudis Expect Reduced Exports In August

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Saudi Arabia expects its crude exports to drop by roughly 100,000 barrels per day in August as the world's top oil exporter works to ensure it does not push oil into the market beyond its customers' needs, the kingdom's Opec governor said on Thursday. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 6 cents, or 0.1 per cent, to $68.82.

After the US pulled back from the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal, US warned other nations including Japan to cease oil imports from Iran. Prices, which had strengthened on news of Saudi Arabia's planned export cuts, fell as the market's focus returned to potential oversupply as Saudi Arabia, Russia and other major producers continue to lift output. If Turkey goes ahead and implements the restrictions demanded by the U.S., Russian Federation will ultimately supply more than 60 percent of Turkey's oil, in addition to already supplying the majority of its natural gas.

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The US State Department has also expressed that it is not anticipating providing any waivers or extensions, which means that there will be no exemptions for anyone.

Futures rose as much as 2.1% in NY on Thursday, reversing early-morning losses. It looks as if the $2.75 dollars level is going to offer short-term supply, but even if we break above there I think the $2.80 level is also going to offer problems.

The price of USA crude oil is dropping still further as oversupply in the market continues to dominate trading.

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U.S. crude strengthened late in the session as the U.S. dollar index slipped to a four-day low, on reports that U.S. President Donald Trump worries that the Federal Reserve will raise rates twice this year.

"The handful of comments from the Saudis" boosted prices, said Bob Yawger, director of futures at Mizuho Securities USA Inc.in NY.

In acknowledging that oil prices have fallen by nearly 10 percent over the last week as a result, John Kilduff, founding partner at Again Capital, remarked, "It's sort of like a piling on now at this point in terms of increased production from the Saudis, from the Russians, from Libya".

USA crude oil refinery inputs averaged about 17.2 million barrels per day during the week ending July 13, which was 413,000 barrels per day less than the previous week's average. The United States has added almost 1 million bpd in production since November, thanks to rapid increases in shale drilling.

Saudi Arabia boosted production sharply in June, raising crude shipments to world markets by 390,000 barrels a day to 7.6-million barrels a day, Kpler tanker-tracking data showed.

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